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Feb 20, 2012

The Most Overpriced Housing Markets In The Developed World


Most OECD countries have experienced an inflating home price bubble from the first quarter of 2001 through the fourth quarter of 2006. But many have yet to see their bubbles burst.


Torsten Slok, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, has a new report examining global home prices.

Specifically, he looks at the relative valuation of housing markets as measured by price/rent and price/income and compares those ratios to historical long-run averages.

Slok argues that home prices in many countries in the developed world are still overvalued. Across the Euro area, home prices are still overvalued by 14 percent.

We ranked the countries by the average over- / under-valuation of home prices relative to rent and income.

Japan's home prices are undervalued by 37%

Japan's home prices are undervalued by 37%
Home price to rent:
-37 percent
Home price to income:
-38 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Germany's home prices are undervalued by 26%

Germany's home prices are undervalued by 26%
Home price to rent:
-22 percent
Home price to income:
-31 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Korea's home prices are undervalued by 14%

Korea's home prices are undervalued by 14%
Home price to rent:
11 percent
Home price to income:
-38 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


USA home prices are undervalued by 9%

USA home prices are undervalued by 9%
Home price to rent:
-1 percent
Home price to income:
-17 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Switzerland's home prices are undervalued by 8%

Switzerland's home prices are undervalued by 8%
Home price to rent:
-6 percent
Home price to income:
-11 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Ireland's home prices are undervalued by 2%

Ireland's home prices are undervalued by 2%
Home price to rent:
3 percent
Home price to income:
-6 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Greece's home prices are fairly valued

Greece's home prices are fairly valued
Home price to rent:
-6 percent
Home price to income:
5 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Italy's home prices are overvalued by 10%

Home price to rent:
9 percent
Home price to income:
12 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Denmark's home prices are overvalued by 17%

Denmark's home prices are overvalued by 17%
Home price to rent:
19 percent
Home price to income:
15 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Finland's home prices are overvalued by 22%

Home price to rent:
44 percent
Home price to income:
0 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Sweden's home prices are overvalued by 25%

Sweden's home prices are overvalued by 25%
Home price to rent:
35 percent
Home price to income:
15 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Spanish home prices are overvalued by 33%

Spanish home prices are overvalued by 33%
Home price to rent:
39 percent
Home price to income:
27 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


UK home prices are overvalued by 34%

UK home prices are overvalued by 34%
Home price to rent:
39 percent
Home price to income:
30 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Netherlands' home prices are overvalued by 36%

Netherlands' home prices are overvalued by 36%
Home price to rent:
28 percent
Home price to income:
43 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Australia's home prices are overvalued by 39%

Australia's home prices are overvalued by 39%
Home price to rent:
50 percent
Home price to income:
27 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


France's home prices are overvalued by 42%

France's home prices are overvalued by 42%
Home price to rent:
49 percent
Home price to income:
36 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


New Zealand's home prices are overvalued by 44%

New Zealand's home prices are overvalued by 44%
Home price to rent:
69 percent
Home price to income:
19 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Norway's home prices are overvalued by 48%

Norway's home prices are overvalued by 48%
Home price to rent:
70 percent
Home price to income:
26 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Canada's home prices are overvalued by 54%

Canada's home prices are overvalued by 54%
Home price to rent:
73 percent
Home price to income:
34 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


Belgium's home prices are overvalued by 56%

Belgium's home prices are overvalued by 56%
Wikimedia Commons
Home price to rent:
65 percent
Home price to income:
48 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank


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