Most OECD countries have experienced an inflating home price bubble from the first quarter of 2001 through the fourth quarter of 2006. But many have yet to see their bubbles burst.
Torsten Slok, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, has a new report examining global home prices.
Specifically, he looks at the relative valuation of housing markets as measured by price/rent and price/income and compares those ratios to historical long-run averages.
Slok argues that home prices in many countries in the developed world are still overvalued. Across the Euro area, home prices are still overvalued by 14 percent.
We ranked the countries by the average over- / under-valuation of home prices relative to rent and income.
Japan's home prices are undervalued by 37%
Germany's home prices are undervalued by 26%
Korea's home prices are undervalued by 14%
USA home prices are undervalued by 9%
Switzerland's home prices are undervalued by 8%
Ireland's home prices are undervalued by 2%
Greece's home prices are fairly valued
Italy's home prices are overvalued by 10%
Denmark's home prices are overvalued by 17%
Finland's home prices are overvalued by 22%
Sweden's home prices are overvalued by 25%
Spanish home prices are overvalued by 33%
UK home prices are overvalued by 34%
Netherlands' home prices are overvalued by 36%
Australia's home prices are overvalued by 39%
France's home prices are overvalued by 42%
New Zealand's home prices are overvalued by 44%
Norway's home prices are overvalued by 48%
Canada's home prices are overvalued by 54%
Belgium's home prices are overvalued by 56%
65 percent
Home price to income:
48 percent
48 percent
Source: OECD / Deutsche Bank
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